Biden (Finally!) Pulls Ahead Of Convicted Felon In The Polls
Time for a little panic in Trumpland? Oh my, yes....
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Well, THAT was a pleasant way to start the day!
Despite a dramatic drop in crime, a historic economy any president in the last 60 years would sell their soul for, and unbelievable legislative accomplishments, Joe Biden has not been able to pass Trump in the national polls. Ever.
Despite four years of failure, corruption, hundreds of thousands of dead by Covid, end-capped by two impeachments and a violent coup attempt, people keep looking back on Trump’s time in office fondly. That’s like looking back fondly at that time you had open heart surgery and almost died from a staph infection because you miss the pudding cups.
Since Trump was thrown out of office, he’s been charged with over 80 felonies, convicted of 34 of them, screamed literal Nazi slogans on stage, and his cognitive collapse has become so severe with nonstop slurring of words and constant confusion, the press has to work overtime to pretend it isn’t happening.
But, you know, Biden’s old and boring so he hasn’t been able to pull ahead in the polls. Until now:
This is not a single poll. 538 is an aggregate poll site meaning they take the average of multiple polls, weighted for their quality. Enough of them have Biden ahead that it moved the needle.
Is that a lot? No. But it’s enough for Biden to take the lead. This happened yesterday (and I missed it!) and…no screaming front-page stories from the New York Times or Washington Post. Maybe they’re waiting to see if the lead holds. My guess, however, is that if (when) Biden is still leading a week from now. Nothing. A month from now. Nothing.
When the Times does its own poll and Biden is ahead, will it run a big front-page article screaming about Biden being ahead like it keeps doing for Trump? No. I said months ago that the second Biden takes the lead in polling, the press will suddenly decide that polls aren’t actually all that accurate or useful. We’re about to watch that play out and I’m going to be spitting bullets when it does.
It’s still a little far out from the election for the polls to be really useful and polling is seriously not functioning well but it can paint a broad picture. Right now, that picture is extremely bad for Trump.
His 34 felony convictions have, in fact, hurt him. And they’re going to keep hurting him. As Biden spends the next five months calling Trump a convicted felon and Trump lashes out in mindless rage, it going to hurt him even more. And that’s before Trump’s cognitive collapse becomes so severe that the press can’t hide it anymore. Meanwhile, Trump's impending debate disaster may just cement Biden’s lead.
Anything can happen between now and the election. That’s true in every cycle. But things have been trending in our favor for months despite the media’s efforts to hide that reality. Is this the turning point where reality catches up and overtakes the propaganda? We’ll know soon enough.
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I can see the NYT headline now: “Biden leading in the polls. Hear how this is bad for Biden. Maggie Haberman explains.”
The best thing Biden can do if trump shows up for the debate, is to laugh. But the fact that the right-wing-billionaire owners of most of our media are pushing Biden up in their “polls”, means they’re going to have to prep their audience for the reality about to hit them.
Oh and since my friends, acquaintances and I NEVER get a call from ANY pollster, I’m putting out MY poll. Biden 80%…trump 18% 2% other (JFK jr and his two supporters)
You’re welcome for this important poll update